Madden 20 Super Bowl LIV simulation: Does Madden like the 49ers or Chiefs?

Source: Windows Central

As one of the few genuinely must-run across events left in this era of Tv set, Super Bowl LIV is undoubtedly ready to generate some massive viewer numbers on Sun, Feb. 2, when the San Francisco 49ers have on the Kansas City Chiefs at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Some surely volition only exist tuning in for the usual slate of large-budget, big-proper name commercials, or to see Jennifer Lopez and Shakira light up the halftime show, simply for football fans, there'southward just 1 question that matters for the NFL's Large Game: Who'due south going to win?

The sports media has fabricated an entire cottage industry of the build-upwards to the Super Bowl, and then there'southward more speculation, informed guesses, and statistical assay floating effectually out in that location than Patrick Mahomes has passing yards. Nonetheless, there's no reason that video games tin can't contribute to this time of apprehension, peculiarly when Madden 20 is available to simulate the matchup and see what insight we tin glean.

Of course, Madden xx isn't exactly a sports sim, just it does have settings that become as close as a console game gets right now. I simmed Super Basin 54 using the "Simulation" settings, with an accelerated play clock that ran downward to xv seconds after each play that ended with a running clock. I used the most recent roster updates possible, with one manual tweak: I moved 49ers running dorsum Raheem Mostert upward to the RB1 spot, equally his recent performances suggest that San Francisco will requite him more carries than his backfield mates Tevin Coleman (who is playing through a contempo injury) and Matt Breida.

Play Super Bowl LIV for yourself

Madden 20

Information technology'south non too late to arrive some NFL activity this season

Whether your program is to replay the 2022 NFL entrada or tackle the very popular Madden Ultimate Squad mode, Madden twenty offers a diversity of ways to play America'south most popular professional person sport, and you won't find a better cost on information technology than right at present.

To avoid the bias inherent in running a simulation of the Super Bowl just one time (and yep, mathematicians, this is still going to be a very small sample set, I know), I watched ane total sim. I so used Madden'southward supersim characteristic to replay the game 99 more than times. In one of those purely delightful cases of serendipity, the sample game I watched turned out to exist the most wildly entertaining of them all ... but the upshot disagreed with what Madden 20 thinks is nearly likely to happen in Miami.

Intrigued? And so read on, because I'll interruption down the total game and follow up with trends from the full torso of 100 sims.

Madden 20 Super Basin LIV sample game simulation

As you'll detect in the pics accompanying this article, the 49ers were the designated road team (which switches past conference every year), wearing their white jerseys with aureate pants. The Chiefs were in their traditional ruddy home jerseys with white pants. Fun fact: This is the first time during the Super Bowl era that the game volition be contested between two teams with red as their primary home bailiwick of jersey color.

Source: Windows Cardinal

First quarter

The 49ers won the coin toss and elected to defer to the second half. On the second play of the game, 49ers defensive tackle DeForest Buckner broke through and sacked Mahomes, suggesting it may be a long evening for the 2022 NFL MVP. Undaunted, he came only a yard shy of converting tertiary downwards on a laissez passer to Sammy Watkins, and the Chiefs were forced to punt.

San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo fared even worse on his first series, with his third down pass finding its way into the welcoming arms of Kansas City cornerback Bashaud Breeland for the game's commencement turnover. The 49ers defense held firm, withal, and the Chiefs settled for a 43-yard Harrison Butker field goal.

Garoppolo settled in on the 49ers' second drive, finding rookie receiver Deebo Samuel non in one case, not twice, only thrice (yes, that's a existent word) to catechumen third downs. Subsequently a loss of yardage on a first down run from the three-yard line, Garoppolo lofted a pass for Samuel again, who outjumped Chiefs cornerback Charvarius Ward for a TD reception.

Mahomes responded quickly with three completions to three unlike receivers. Still, afterwards a holding penalty on Laurent Duvernay-Tardif, Buckner got him down to the turf for the third fourth dimension, tying the Super Bowl record for sacks in just ane-quarter of action.

Score: 49ers vii, Chiefs 3

Source: Windows Fundamental

Second quarter

A second Butker field goal on the first play of the 2d quarter cut the 49ers lead to a single point. The teams then exchanged iii-and-outs, with Buckner recording his fourth sack to gear up a new Super Basin record — and plenty of fourth dimension left to add onto it. He added a fifth sack later the Chiefs got the brawl back again, but Mahomes was decorated completing 12 of his first 13 passes when he had time to throw. From the San Francisco 40, he kept a play alive with his feet by rolling to his right for a gorgeous 31-thou completion to Watkins, then found running back Damien Williams over the heart of the field on the next play to put Kansas Urban center back in forepart.

The lead wouldn't last long, equally Garoppolo used play action to discover Emmanuel Sanders for 35 yards, and so located Kendrick Bourne curiously uncovered on the right side of the field for a 41-yard score. Mahomes responded with a seven-play, 72-yard TD drive capped by a 3-yard pass to tight end Travis Kelce.

So came the showtime play that seemed like a turning bespeak: Garoppolo threw to Sanders on a run-laissez passer option, simply the receiver was drilled by Tyrann Mathieu. The backwards laissez passer was ruled a fumble, and linebacker Damien Wilson scooped it and ran it untouched for six. Another Butker field goal made information technology a 30-14 Chiefs lead a few minutes later, and when Breeland picked off Garoppolo to end the half, it felt like the kind of potency the Chiefs had shown during spurts of their previous playoff games.

Score: 49ers 14, Chiefs 30

Source: Windows Central

Third quarter

The lead grew to 33-14 for Kansas Urban center after Butker proved true over again from 33 yards out. Still Garoppolo dug in and led the Niners on their most impressive bulldoze still, going 74 yards in xi plays before the point-caller continued with Samuel in the end zone for the second time. Mahomes once once more had a response upwards his sleeve, locating Kelce several times on the ensuing bulldoze and completing a 2-yard TD pass to his All-Pro tight end to put KC up 40-21.

His 49ers counterpart, George Kittle, had been strangely serenity to that betoken in the game, but he made the most important play of the next drive, hauling in a 27-yard take hold of and run down to the Chiefs 10 on the concluding play of the 3rd quarter.

Score: 49ers 21, Chiefs 40

Source: Windows Central

4th quarter

Though the 49ers had an uphill climb ahead of them, it got slightly easier when Garoppolo found Bourne with 12:37 remaining, and the PAT cut the Chiefs' lead to 12 points. The Niners forced a three-and-out for the first time in ages, merely a booming 56-yard punt meant they had to start their adjacent possession from their own 23-yard line.

Garoppolo came out firing with completions to Bourne and Kittle, but the Chiefs rose to the challenge and forced iii directly incomplete passes. The 49ers summoned kicker Robbie Gould to try his luck from 51 yards out and he rewarded their religion, making it a 40-31 game with 9:34 left in regulation.

Still winging information technology despite their lead, the Chiefs avant-garde to midfield before Demarcus Robinson came upwardly simply short of the sticks at the 50-thousand line. Andy Reid called for a punt, which boomed its fashion into the end zone. That seemed like it might seal the game for the Chiefs, equally a deflected pass off the hands of Sanders managed to find Breeland again for his 3rd INT of the game. Kansas City took over with a ix-signal pb and only 5:51 to impale. The Chiefs punted again, just afterwards a Tanoh Kpassagnon strip sack recovered by Coleman left the 49ers behind the sticks, a facemask penalty bailed them out. It proved costly, too, as Garoppolo hit Samuel for 36 yards down to the KC 14, and then completed a touchdown pass to Bourne to get in a two-point game.

Source: Windows Primal

No onside kick followed as the Niners retained all three timeouts. The two-minute warning stopped the clock afterward a first downwards run, but the Chiefs dialed upward a play-activity pass on 2d down ... and it proved disastrous. Despite entering Super Basin LIV without an interception in the postseason, Mahomes picked the worst possible time to throw i, with Richard Sherman going the distance for an improbable 45-40 pb.

That still gave Mahomes 1:46 to industry a signature championship drive, and he got the Chiefs to the 49ers' 35-yard line with 25 ticks left on the clock. There was no fairy tale catastrophe in store, as Sherman leaped in front of Tyreek Hill for still another option-6, icing the game at 52-xl and sending the 49ers fans into (presumed) virtual hysterics.

Last Score: 49ers 52, Chiefs 40

Source: Windows Central

Madden twenty Super Basin LIV sample game - MVP and notable stats

For his belatedly game heroics, Sherman was named MVP. If non for the second return TD, the honor almost certainly would have gone to Garoppolo, who finished 32-for-52 passing for 449 yards, v touchdowns, and three INTs. Mahomes had one of the finest performances a losing quarterback could e'er have, going 37-for-48 with 486 yards passing and 3 touchdowns, though his ii devastating picks volition almost certainly haunt this virtual version of him for the rest of his days (not to mention Andy Reid for calling that fateful play-activeness pass).

Kelce was likewise a creature in defeat, racking up 13 catches for 207 yards and ii scores. Samuel (10 catches, 165 yards, and two TDs), Watkins (8 catches, 143 yards), and Bourne (9 catches, 99 yards, and 3 touchdowns) all enjoyed parts in the aerial show as well. 2-star pass catchers had much less touch on: Kittle had a good but non great day with six catches for 68 yards, while Hill was nigh invisible, finishing with just two catches for 35 yards.

Along with Buckner'south sack record, Breeland too tied the Super Basin interception record with three. A feat just pulled off once before past Rod Martin in Super Basin Xv. Non besides shabby in a game that would take been the highest-scoring Super Basin ever if information technology played out in the real globe.

Alas, another 99 simulations by Madden 20 leaves ane with the impression that Sunday's game won't feature well-nigh as many points, and probably a different winner, too.

Source: Windows Central

Madden xx Super Bowl LIV - What I learned from 100 simulations

Let's get the most important difference out of the fashion correct off the bat: Madden xx likes the Chiefs to win Super Bowl 54. The Chiefs prevailed in 59 of the 100 simulations, including the sample game, with an average score of 30-20. There doesn't seem to be one specific fashion to beat the Chiefs either, as Kansas City won loftier-scoring and low-scoring simulations akin, as well every bit games where Mahomes went wild and others where a rushing attack led past Damien Williams did most of the damage.

Fifty-fifty more disheartening for 49ers fans: Madden 20 thinks there'south a good hazard for a shut game, with 61 of the 100 sims decided by a unmarried score (meaning eight points or less). Still, if there's a blowout, it will likely go Kansas City's way — but two of the 100 games featured San Francisco victories by more 16 points, compared to x for KC.

I potential beacon of adept fortune could be if the Niners can take the game to overtime. San Francisco had a 10-iii record in the 13 simulations that are tied at the end of four quarters of football.

Source: Windows Cardinal

What Madden xx (probably) gets correct about Super Bowl LIV

Patrick Mahomes will most likely exist the MVP

Mahomes was named MVP in 45 of the 100 sims, by far the most of any role player on either team. But Garoppolo (25 times), Damien Williams (seven times), and Tyreek Hill (three times) grabbed the laurels in more than two other games. The 49ers were more than autonomous overall, with 11 players splitting their 41 MVP awards, including all three running backs getting the nod at least once. No losing thespian was named MVP in any of the games.

Mahomes will also probably throw for 300-plus yards

This seems like a no-brainer, but Madden xx thinks this is near an fifty-fifty bet, with the Kansas City QB eclipsing 300 yards 44 out of 100 games and coming inside fifteen yards 8 more than times. Certainly, he heads to Miami on a roll, and even the 49ers defense might be hard-pressed to slow him down.

Source: Windows Central

What Madden 20 (probably) gets wrong almost Super Basin LIV

The 49ers rushing attack gets stifled by the Chiefs D

It's true that Kansas City has played much amend on defence force during the 2nd half of the 2022 flavour, only the Niners have been a juggernaut running the brawl, combining a iii-headed RB monster with timely jaunts by Samuel and others. Madden twenty was unimpressed, nevertheless, picking the Chiefs to have more than rushing yards in 60 of the 100 simulations (plus two more games where the squads were dead fifty-fifty running the ball). Considering the conventional wisdom is that the 49ers will need to command the ball and run finer to win, this is a curious stat that could be very important, as unlikely as it appears.

Neither tight end has a shot at MVP

OK, look, Kelce and Kittle might be the 2 all-time pass-catching tight ends in the NFL today, and Kittle is a ferocious run blocker to boot. There would seem to be a good argument that both of them would become an MVP at least once in 100 simulations of Super Bowl LIV, right? Non so much. Though both men have some impressive stat lines, virtually of the games in which they actually shine meet the MVP trophy go to the player throwing them the ball instead. Modern history suggests that awards are really weighted toward QBs these days, simply a complete shutout of these two studs is hard to fathom.

Play Super Bowl LIV for yourself

Madden 20

It's not too belatedly to arrive some NFL action this season

Whether your program is to replay the 2022 NFL campaign or tackle the very popular Madden Ultimate Team mode, Madden twenty offers a diverseness of ways to play America'south almost popular professional sport, and yous won't find a meliorate price on it than right now.

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Source: https://www.windowscentral.com/madden-20-super-bowl-liv-simulation-does-madden-49ers-or-chiefs

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